Laura Fine Poll Shows She Is Tied with Daniel Biss in 9th District

Here is the memo from Laura Fine’s pollster:

With six weeks to go until Election Day and just days before early voting begins in Illinois, a new survey of likely Democratic primary voters shows State Senator Laura Fine moving into first place in the crowded field for the nomination in the 9th Congressional District.

Fine is picking up steam while the field remains stagnant, despite several candidates already spending hundreds of thousands of dollars communicating or benefitting from hundreds of thousands more from outside groups and super PACs.

While there is still a lot of runway between today and March 17th, the data is clear: Laura Fine’s consistent record of standing up to greedy insurance companies and delivering as one of the most effective Democratic Senators in Springfield resonates with 9th District Democrats and puts her in a strong position heading down the home stretch.

• Fine has jumped into a tie for first place. A survey from November of last year2 showed a different picture, with Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss holding an early advantage, at 20 percent, ahead of Kat Abughazaleh (14 percent) and Laura Fine (13 percent). Two months later, both Biss and Abughazaleh remain stuck in place despite heavy communications while Fine increased her vote share by more than 50 percent.
• Fine’s strongest support comes from the most likely voters to turnout. Primary turnout projections can range dramatically, but one consistent factor in them is turnout among voters age 65+. This is where Laura Fine is strongest. Fine currently holds a 34 – 29 percent edge over her nearest competitor, Biss, with this critical bloc (Fine trailed Biss 19 – 29 percent here in November). Fine leads the field among all voters age 50+ as well as among all voters outside the city of Chicago.