Monday, October 30, 2006

McSweeney-Bean in Statistical Tie

Here’s the guts of an ABC Channel 7-Daily Herald poll on the 8th congressional district race among incumbent Democrat Melissa Bean, Republican challenger David McSweeney and anti-war Moderate Party challenger Bill Scheurer:

First ABC:
Bean, like (Tammy) Duckworth, is also benefiting from the strong support of voters who don't like the direction the county's heading in.

But she's only leading Republican David McSweeney by 3 points in our poll. 42-to-39. Another dead heat with a 4 percent margin of error.

In part because Bill Scheurer, a liberal who's running as an anti-war third party candidate, has 8 percent and he may be attracting voters who would otherwise support Bean.
The Daily Herald has similar information.

So, what's to be made of the Chicago Tribune poll a while ago that had Bean leading McSweeney by 19 percentage points?

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