Monday, February 27, 2006

Tribune Endorses David McSweeney and Tammy Duckworth

It’s almost as if Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee campaign chairman Rahm Emmanuel were deciding whom the Chicago Tribune endorsed.

In the lead endorsement, it’s Iraqi war veteran Tammy Duckworth, Emmanuel’s hand-picked replacement for Henry Hyde. The second endorsement is of 8th congressional district Republican David McSweeney to run against Emmanuel’s client-Congresswoman Melissa Bean. (The other candidates are reduced--in typical Tribune fashion--to “Also in the race are…”)

Here’s everything in the endorsement about McSweeney:
Our endorsement goes to former investment banker David McSweeney of Barrington Hills. McSweeney's business experience and his focus on spending cuts and low taxes to promote economic growth give him the edge. He also is firmly committed to civil justice reform.
Why would the Democrats want a man to run against a congressional women incumbent in the Northwest suburbs?

Because a woman has something like a five percentage point advantage against a man, regardless of party. I’ve seen this since 1966 in both Republican primaries and general elections. I am sure that anyone polling in the district.

Why?

Maybe because women think they are underrepresented in public office and, maybe, because just by looking at the indictments and convictions of politicians in the Chicago media market one can see there are more politically corrupt males than females.

Last time, the margin was less than five percentage points.

Just to give you a hint that the Tribune favors Bean, take a look at how unopposed State Senator Peter Roskam is treated in the Duckworth endorsement:
Hyde…supports state Sen. Peter Roskam (R-Wheaton) as his successor. Roskam does not face a primary challenge.
Compare that to what the Tribune says about Bean, also unopposed:
Democrats were indeed encouraged by Melissa Bean's victory over veteran Republican Rep. Phil Crane two years ago. They also understand they will have a tough job retaining the seat this year. It won't be easy for Republicans--Bean has done an impressive job of charting a moderate, pro-growth political course that many of her constituents will like. But she's going to get a fight in the fall.
McSweeney or Bean?

Whom do you think the Tribune will endorse this fall?

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